By Graeme McNaughton/The Oshawa Express
Oshawa is in for a warmer summer than last here, but don’t expect things to get too hot.
That’s according to Geoff Coulson, a warning preparedness meteorologist with Environment and Climate Change Canada, says the city and the rest of Durham Region can expect summer temperatures to be warmer than last year.
“It looks kind of middle of the road. That’s the way things are shaping up right now,” Coulson says.
“As we work our way towards mid-June, temperatures are expected to bounce back to somewhat warmer than seasonal values. So if we look at June overall, we are expecting conditions, on average, to be a little bit warmer than normal.”
While exact data is not available for the remaining summer months, Coulson says July and August are looking to follow the same trend starting this month.
“A number of different weather models are pointing towards, for both July and August, temperatures around normal, or actually a little bit warmer than normal. Looking at a bit of different situation than last summer, where it was pretty much around seasonable the whole time, maybe even a little bit cooler for some of the stretches,” he says.
“For this summer, in general, it looks like if we take June, July and August, all three of those months together, the temperature trend overall is expected to be around seasonal or actually a little bit warmer than usual.”
According to data from Environment and Climate Change Canada, the average temperature for June, July and August were 21.8 C, 25.9 C and 24.4 C, with the hottest recorded temperature of the year falling on Sept. 7, with a maximum temperature of 31.6 C without humidity. In total, there were five days in 2015 where temperatures in Oshawa hitting 30 C and above without humidity, with the first not coming until July 28.
One thing that is still unknown about this summer is whether it will be wet or dry, with Coulson saying forecasting such weather events is very difficult to do.
“It tends to be a lot more difficult to forecast because of the very local nature of a lot of the rainfall that we do get in the summer months. You’ll get spotty shower activity in one part of Durham Region getting a good downpour, and another area just a few kilometres away still under bright and sunny skies,” he says.
From June 1 through the end of August last year, Oshawa saw 284.3 milimetres of precipitation, according to data from Environment and Climate Change Canada.